As I understand it, Scott’s post was making basically the same conceptual distinction as this Andrew Gelman post, where Gelman writes:
One of the big findings of baseball statistics guru Bill James is that minor-league statistics, when correctly adjusted, predict major-league performance. James is working through a three-step process: (1) naive trust in minor league stats, (2) a recognition that raw minor league stats are misleading, (3) a statistical adjustment process, by which you realize that there really is a lot of information there, if you know how to use it.
Scott labels the first two of Gelman’s categories “clueless” and the third “savvy”.
As I understand it, Scott’s post was making basically the same conceptual distinction as this Andrew Gelman post, where Gelman writes:
Scott labels the first two of Gelman’s categories “clueless” and the third “savvy”.