Max has a great track record as a hedgehog. I’m not aware of him having any superforcasting credentials or expertise that’s relevant to predicting Russian politics. His arguments deserve to be taken seriously but there’s no reason to unquestioningly accept them.
Max has a great track record as a hedgehog. I’m not aware of him having any superforcasting credentials or expertise that’s relevant to predicting Russian politics. His arguments deserve to be taken seriously but there’s no reason to unquestioningly accept them.