No, that’s if you want to understand why a specific Lesswrong afficionado became wary of probabilistic thinking to the point of calling it a problem of the EA community. If you don’t care about my opinions in general, you are welcome to take no action about it. He asked for my thoughts, I provided them.
But the reference class of Diego’s thoughts contains more thoughts that are wrong than that are true. So on priors, you might want to ignore them :p
No, that’s if you want to understand why a specific Lesswrong afficionado became wary of probabilistic thinking to the point of calling it a problem of the EA community. If you don’t care about my opinions in general, you are welcome to take no action about it. He asked for my thoughts, I provided them.
But the reference class of Diego’s thoughts contains more thoughts that are wrong than that are true. So on priors, you might want to ignore them :p