I think this example omits the most important features of the Sleeping Beauty problem. It’s just a standard update with much less indexical uncertainty and no ambiguity about how to conduct a “fair” bet when one participant may have to make the same bet a second time with their memory erased.
I think this example omits the most important features of the Sleeping Beauty problem. It’s just a standard update with much less indexical uncertainty and no ambiguity about how to conduct a “fair” bet when one participant may have to make the same bet a second time with their memory erased.