Kman and I probably differ somewhat here. I think it’s >90% likely that if we continue along the current trajectory we’ll get AGI before the superbabies grow up.
This technology only starts to become really important if there’s some kind of big AI disaster or a war that takes down most of the world’s chip fabs. I think that’s more likely than people are giving it credit for and if it happens this will become the most important technology in the world.
Gene editing research is much less centralized than chip manufacturing. Basically all of the research can be done in normal labs of the type seen all over the world. And the supply chain for reagents and other inputs is much less centralized than the supply chain for chip fabrication.
You don’t have a hundred billion dollar datacenter than can be bombed by hypersonic projectiles. The research can happen almost anywhere. So this stuff is just naturally a lot more robust than AI in the event of a big conflict.
Kman and I probably differ somewhat here. I think it’s >90% likely that if we continue along the current trajectory we’ll get AGI before the superbabies grow up.
This technology only starts to become really important if there’s some kind of big AI disaster or a war that takes down most of the world’s chip fabs. I think that’s more likely than people are giving it credit for and if it happens this will become the most important technology in the world.
Gene editing research is much less centralized than chip manufacturing. Basically all of the research can be done in normal labs of the type seen all over the world. And the supply chain for reagents and other inputs is much less centralized than the supply chain for chip fabrication.
You don’t have a hundred billion dollar datacenter than can be bombed by hypersonic projectiles. The research can happen almost anywhere. So this stuff is just naturally a lot more robust than AI in the event of a big conflict.