Another point in favor of such a set-up would be that aspiring superforecasters get much, much more information when they see ~[the prediction of a superforecaster would have made having their information]; a point vs a distribution. I’d expect that this means that market participants would get better, faster.
Another point in favor of such a set-up would be that aspiring superforecasters get much, much more information when they see ~[the prediction of a superforecaster would have made having their information]; a point vs a distribution. I’d expect that this means that market participants would get better, faster.
Yep, this way would basically be much more information-dense, with all the benefits that comes from that.