true claims that are irrelevant to decision-making
I think these true claims are highly relevant even if there is a very high chance that none of the authorities will follow them.
Covid-19 is a comparatively mild test of humanity’s capacity to fight dangerous diseases. It’s not the “real thing”, the disease X that could kill hundreds of millions of people or bring our civilization crashing down.
As such I think it’s very important for rationalists to build up a track record of making the right calls.
My only regret is that I didn’t express a strong opinion even earlier in January.
I think these true claims are highly relevant even if there is a very high chance that none of the authorities will follow them.
Covid-19 is a comparatively mild test of humanity’s capacity to fight dangerous diseases. It’s not the “real thing”, the disease X that could kill hundreds of millions of people or bring our civilization crashing down.
As such I think it’s very important for rationalists to build up a track record of making the right calls.
My only regret is that I didn’t express a strong opinion even earlier in January.