In the medium takeoff scenario, my plan would be to achieve basically what I wanted to achieve in my original scenario but with quantity instead of quality. As soon as we get weakly superhuman AGI, we can try throwing 1000 of them at this task. Assuming they are better than humans at intellectual tasks, I would think that having 1000 genius researchers work on an issue with very good coordination 24⁄7 gives us pretty good chances. The main bottleneck here is how much energy each one of them consumes. I am decently confident that we can afford at least 1000, but probably much more, which also somewhat boosts our chances.
Alright, that’s fair enough.
In the medium takeoff scenario, my plan would be to achieve basically what I wanted to achieve in my original scenario but with quantity instead of quality. As soon as we get weakly superhuman AGI, we can try throwing 1000 of them at this task. Assuming they are better than humans at intellectual tasks, I would think that having 1000 genius researchers work on an issue with very good coordination 24⁄7 gives us pretty good chances. The main bottleneck here is how much energy each one of them consumes. I am decently confident that we can afford at least 1000, but probably much more, which also somewhat boosts our chances.