I think the “base rate fallacy” and Eliezer’s “privileging the hypothesis” are the same thing. Sound about right to anyone else?
In the base rate fallacy, you at least have the likelihood ratio. In the fallacy of privileging the hypothesis you don’t even have that.
I think the “base rate fallacy” and Eliezer’s “privileging the hypothesis” are the same thing. Sound about right to anyone else?
In the base rate fallacy, you at least have the likelihood ratio. In the fallacy of privileging the hypothesis you don’t even have that.