What can I say—it was just a gut feeling! :-) As I said on Saturday, I already knew Julian.
I don’t think it was too overconfident for that gut feeling to count as the lesser of two pieces of evidence raising p(RedJulian) from .5 to .85.
What can I say—it was just a gut feeling! :-) As I said on Saturday, I already knew Julian.
I don’t think it was too overconfident for that gut feeling to count as the lesser of two pieces of evidence raising p(RedJulian) from .5 to .85.