Isn’t 99.9% confident in this pretty extreme? If a thousand randomly selected similar cases came out, 999 of them would be lab leaks and only one would involve investigators missing something?
only one would involve investigators missing something?
Investigators always miss something and we are likely going to find more information in the future.
That doesn’t change the fact that we have overwhelming evidence.
If you look at the article in Public, it makes the case: We know that the people at the WIV put a Furin cleavage side via gain-of-function modification into a Coronaviruses and we know that they did their research without the safety precautions that you would need and we know that one of the first patients was one of the people working with Coronaviruses at the WIV.
That’s already a quite good argument and I can see why it alone isn’t enough for 99.9% confidence but we are not limited to it.
Isn’t 99.9% confident in this pretty extreme? If a thousand randomly selected similar cases came out, 999 of them would be lab leaks and only one would involve investigators missing something?
Investigators always miss something and we are likely going to find more information in the future.
That doesn’t change the fact that we have overwhelming evidence.
If you look at the article in Public, it makes the case: We know that the people at the WIV put a Furin cleavage side via gain-of-function modification into a Coronaviruses and we know that they did their research without the safety precautions that you would need and we know that one of the first patients was one of the people working with Coronaviruses at the WIV.
That’s already a quite good argument and I can see why it alone isn’t enough for 99.9% confidence but we are not limited to it.