I don’t think my odds of lab origin are 99% yet, but I think after this article I’d move my odds from 80%->90%. I’d like to see confirmation by more sources before I move any higher. But the evidence looks pretty compelling with this point; the narrative is coherent, the counterarguments (of those I’ve read) seem weak. Though it’s possible I’ve missed some stronger ones since most of the people in my information sphere seem to believe the lab leak hypothesis.
This is quite a story.
I don’t think my odds of lab origin are 99% yet, but I think after this article I’d move my odds from 80%->90%. I’d like to see confirmation by more sources before I move any higher. But the evidence looks pretty compelling with this point; the narrative is coherent, the counterarguments (of those I’ve read) seem weak. Though it’s possible I’ve missed some stronger ones since most of the people in my information sphere seem to believe the lab leak hypothesis.