my response: “The arrow does not point toward most Sun prayer decision rules. In fact, it only points toward the ones that are secretly bayesian expected utility maximization. Anyway, I feel like this does very little to address my original point that there is this big red arrow pointing toward bayesian expected utility maximization and no big red arrow pointing toward Sun prayer decision rules.”
I don’t really understand your point, sorry. “Big red arrows towards X” only are a problem for doing Y if (1) they tell me that doing Y is inconsistent with doing [the form of X that’s necessary to avoid leaving value on the table]. And these arrows aren’t action-guiding for me unless (2) they tell me which particular variant of X to do. I’ve argued that there is no sense in which either (1) or (2) is true. Further, I think there are various big green arrows towards Y, as sketched in the SEP article and Mogensen paper I linked in the OP, though I understand if these aren’t fully satisfying positive arguments. (I tentatively plan to write such positive arguments up elsewhere.)
I’m just not swayed by vibes-level “arrows” if there isn’t an argument that my approach is leaving value on the table by my lights, or that you have a particular approach that doesn’t do so.
I don’t really understand your point, sorry. “Big red arrows towards X” only are a problem for doing Y if (1) they tell me that doing Y is inconsistent with doing [the form of X that’s necessary to avoid leaving value on the table]. And these arrows aren’t action-guiding for me unless (2) they tell me which particular variant of X to do. I’ve argued that there is no sense in which either (1) or (2) is true. Further, I think there are various big green arrows towards Y, as sketched in the SEP article and Mogensen paper I linked in the OP, though I understand if these aren’t fully satisfying positive arguments. (I tentatively plan to write such positive arguments up elsewhere.)
I’m just not swayed by vibes-level “arrows” if there isn’t an argument that my approach is leaving value on the table by my lights, or that you have a particular approach that doesn’t do so.