Alas, as nice a quote as it is, it seems to be bogus:
previous discussion: http://lesswrong.com/lw/i7t/rationality_quotes_august_2013/9ljz
WP discussion to which I’ve added my failed attempts to find the original: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Ernest_Rutherford#Odds_of_1012_to_1.
Alas, as nice a quote as it is, it seems to be bogus:
previous discussion: http://lesswrong.com/lw/i7t/rationality_quotes_august_2013/9ljz
WP discussion to which I’ve added my failed attempts to find the original: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Ernest_Rutherford#Odds_of_1012_to_1.