I’m now happy to make this bet about Trump vs. Harris, if you’re interested.
I’d now make this bet if you were down. Offer expires in 48 hours.
Probably no longer willing to make the bet, sorry. While my inside view is that Harris is more likely to win than Nate Silver’s 72%, I defer to his model enough that my “all things considered” view now puts her win probability around 75%.
I’d like to wait and see what various models say.
I’m now happy to make this bet about Trump vs. Harris, if you’re interested.
I’d now make this bet if you were down. Offer expires in 48 hours.
Probably no longer willing to make the bet, sorry. While my inside view is that Harris is more likely to win than Nate Silver’s 72%, I defer to his model enough that my “all things considered” view now puts her win probability around 75%.
I’d like to wait and see what various models say.