Probably no longer willing to make the bet, sorry. While my inside view is that Harris is more likely to win than Nate Silver’s 72%, I defer to his model enough that my “all things considered” view now puts her win probability around 75%.
Probably no longer willing to make the bet, sorry. While my inside view is that Harris is more likely to win than Nate Silver’s 72%, I defer to his model enough that my “all things considered” view now puts her win probability around 75%.