Question: What’s going on from a Bayesian perspective when you have two conflicting intuitions and don’t know how to resolve them? Or learn some new info which rules out a theory, but you don’t understand how precisely it rules it out?
Hypothesis: The correction flows down a different path than down the path which is generating the original theory/intuition. That is, we’ve failed to propagate info down our network and so you have a left-over circuit that believes in the theory which still has high weight.
Question: What’s going on from a Bayesian perspective when you have two conflicting intuitions and don’t know how to resolve them? Or learn some new info which rules out a theory, but you don’t understand how precisely it rules it out?
Hypothesis: The correction flows down a different path than down the path which is generating the original theory/intuition. That is, we’ve failed to propagate info down our network and so you have a left-over circuit that believes in the theory which still has high weight.