I agree. Perhaps he means to say that his opinion is based on very little evidence and is “just a hunch”.
I do think that in fitting a model to data, you can give meaningful confidence intervals for parameters of those models which correspond to probabilities (e.g. p(heads) for a particular coin flipping device). But that’s not relevant here.
I agree. Perhaps he means to say that his opinion is based on very little evidence and is “just a hunch”.
I do think that in fitting a model to data, you can give meaningful confidence intervals for parameters of those models which correspond to probabilities (e.g. p(heads) for a particular coin flipping device). But that’s not relevant here.