Pinker didn’t address evidence screening off other evidence. Race would be rendered zero evidence in many cases, in particular in criminal cases for which there is approximately enough evidence to convict. I’m not exactly sure how often, I don’t know how much e.g. poverty, crime, and race coincide.
It is perhaps counterintuitive to think that Bayesian evidence can apparently be ignored, but of course it isn’t really being ignored, just carefully not double counted.
Pinker didn’t address evidence screening off other evidence. Race would be rendered zero evidence in many cases, in particular in criminal cases for which there is approximately enough evidence to convict. I’m not exactly sure how often, I don’t know how much e.g. poverty, crime, and race coincide.
It is perhaps counterintuitive to think that Bayesian evidence can apparently be ignored, but of course it isn’t really being ignored, just carefully not double counted.
The percentage arrestees who are black is higher than the percentage of offenders who are black as reported by victims in surveys.
(Suggesting the base rate is screened out by the time the matter gets to the court room)