Expertise measurement via credence calibration. I wrote Prediction-based-Medicine to layout the concept for medicine.
It’s also applicable to a variety of other professionals who make a lot of decisions that have clear measured outcomes. If you for example look at the people filing parole boards you can let them predict recivism rates.
Government burocrats who predict how variables will be in the future can be scored on credence.
Expertise measurement via credence calibration. I wrote Prediction-based-Medicine to layout the concept for medicine.
It’s also applicable to a variety of other professionals who make a lot of decisions that have clear measured outcomes. If you for example look at the people filing parole boards you can let them predict recivism rates.
Government burocrats who predict how variables will be in the future can be scored on credence.