I agree this is a likely outcome, though I also think there’s at least a 30% chance that the blackhats could find ways around it. Journals can’t just lock it down to people the editors know personally without losing the large majority of their contributors.
This would just greatly increase the amount of credentialism in academia.
I.e., unless you’re affiliated with some highly elite institution or renowned scholar, no one’s even gonna look at your paper.
I agree this is a likely outcome, though I also think there’s at least a 30% chance that the blackhats could find ways around it. Journals can’t just lock it down to people the editors know personally without losing the large majority of their contributors.