Would you care to clarify how much you mean ”… so Eliezer and Luke are crackpotty” and how much you mean ”… so these aren’t a very good guide”? (For the avoidance of doubt, I don’t think either argument is obviously crazy, though actually I think Eliezer and Luke aren’t crackpots and those are useful crackpot indicators.)
Would you care to clarify how much you mean ”… so Eliezer and Luke are crackpotty” and how much you mean ”… so these aren’t a very good guide”? (For the avoidance of doubt, I don’t think either argument is obviously crazy, though actually I think Eliezer and Luke aren’t crackpots and those are useful crackpot indicators.)