Well that’s nice, but I had meant: have we come to a consensus on what sort of decision theory will auto-generate the right result, rather than merely writing down the result of the decision theory preinstalled in our brains and calling it correct? Has the “Paradox” part been formally resolved?
Because, you know, I don’t want to post about it and then get told my thoughts were already thought five years ago and didn’t actually help solve the problem.
From the 2013 survey results:
Don’t understand/prefer not to answer: 92, 5.6%
Not sure: 103, 6.3%
One box: 1036, 63.3%
Two box: 119, 7.3%
Did not answer: 287, 17.5%
Well that’s nice, but I had meant: have we come to a consensus on what sort of decision theory will auto-generate the right result, rather than merely writing down the result of the decision theory preinstalled in our brains and calling it correct? Has the “Paradox” part been formally resolved?
Because, you know, I don’t want to post about it and then get told my thoughts were already thought five years ago and didn’t actually help solve the problem.
Incarnations of UDT sufficient for this problem have been made completely formal.
Ummm.… link please?
Not for any mathematically rigorous value of “what sort”, as far as I can tell.
Great, I’m drafting a post.