It is possible that Scott believed that ETH is negatively-skewed (ie small chance of collapsing, large chance of small increase) but this would be inconsistent with his probability that ETH is going to 5k.
I think the vast majority of people think crypto is positively-skewed.
It is possible that Scott believed that ETH is negatively-skewed (ie small chance of collapsing, large chance of small increase) but this would be inconsistent with his probability that ETH is going to 5k.
I think the vast majority of people think crypto is positively-skewed.
Right! My untrained intuition still resists a bit; I should play with the numbers.