I really feel there is more disagreement on the second question than on the first
What is this feeling based on? One way we could measure this is by asking people about how much AI xrisk there is conditional on there being no more research explicitly aimed at aligning AGIs. I expect that different people would give very different predictions.
People like Paul and Evan and more are actually going for the core problems IMO, just anchoring a lot of their thinking in current ML technologies.
Everyone agrees that Paul is trying to solve foundational problems. And it seems strange to criticise Eliezer’s position by citing the work of MIRI employees.
It’s just harder when he writes things like everyone working on alignment is faking it and not giving much details.
What is this feeling based on? One way we could measure this is by asking people about how much AI xrisk there is conditional on there being no more research explicitly aimed at aligning AGIs. I expect that different people would give very different predictions.
Everyone agrees that Paul is trying to solve foundational problems. And it seems strange to criticise Eliezer’s position by citing the work of MIRI employees.
As Rob pointed out above, this straightforwardly mischaracterises what Eliezer said.