Thinking “probability exists only in the territory” is exactly taking the idea that probabilities exists as “things itself” to the extreme as i wrote. This view is not a strawman of dogmatic frequentists position, as you can see from the John Venn quote.
I feel the need to point that i have tried to describe the context of the debate where the heuristic: “uncertainty exists in the map, not in the territory” was given in the first place. This whole historical debate started from the idea that probability as a degree of belief does not mean anything. This was the start. “Fallacious rubbish”, as Fisher puts it.
I have tried to show that one can have this very extreme position even if there exists only epistemic uncertainty. One can answer to this position by describing how in some situations the uncertainty exists in the map, not in the territory. This is the context where that general heuristic is used and the background that it should be judged against.
“A rational decision maker genuinely needs both the concept of frequency and the concept of belief.” Amen!
Thinking “probability exists only in the territory” is exactly taking the idea that probabilities exists as “things itself” to the extreme as i wrote. This view is not a strawman of dogmatic frequentists position, as you can see from the John Venn quote.
I feel the need to point that i have tried to describe the context of the debate where the heuristic: “uncertainty exists in the map, not in the territory” was given in the first place. This whole historical debate started from the idea that probability as a degree of belief does not mean anything. This was the start. “Fallacious rubbish”, as Fisher puts it.
I have tried to show that one can have this very extreme position even if there exists only epistemic uncertainty. One can answer to this position by describing how in some situations the uncertainty exists in the map, not in the territory. This is the context where that general heuristic is used and the background that it should be judged against.
“A rational decision maker genuinely needs both the concept of frequency and the concept of belief.” Amen!