[mean squared error] wouldn’t penalize a credence of 99.999% on wrong answers enough to strongly dissuade unjustified absolute certainties.
Since the scoring rule is proper, the penalty for incorrectly being 99.999% confident is exactly high enough that you wouldn’t want to say you are if you’re merely 99.998% confident.
I don’t care about the US Postmaster General or about who won which sports championship. I don’t care about boxing champions. I don’t care about the various US sport teams.
I don’t even want to learn that knowledge.
Nobel Prizes are more interesting.
Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine 2012?
A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka
B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman
Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine for the discovery that mature cells can be reprogrammed
to become pluripotent?
A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka
B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman
EDIT: (This comment should be top level, sorry...)
Hey Alexei, I know it’s been a while since this game was developed, but I’ve discovered it recently and I want to make a better one. More question types, community-contributed and voted questions, categories, profiles; cross-platform web app, themes, better UI etc.
It’s of course going to be open-source.
Would you like to help with math model for questions and evaluating, or maybe with development?
This claim seems incorrect:
Since the scoring rule is proper, the penalty for incorrectly being 99.999% confident is exactly high enough that you wouldn’t want to say you are if you’re merely 99.998% confident.
Unless you mean something different?
I don’t care about the US Postmaster General or about who won which sports championship. I don’t care about boxing champions. I don’t care about the various US sport teams.
I don’t even want to learn that knowledge.
Nobel Prizes are more interesting. Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine 2012? A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman
Who got the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine for the discovery that mature cells can be reprogrammed to become pluripotent? A) John B. Gurdon and Shinya Yamanaka B) Bruce A. Beutler, Jules A. Hoffmann and Ralph M. Steinman
EDIT: (This comment should be top level, sorry...)
Yeah, I feel you. I’m currently adding a feature where you specify what questions you want to be asked.
Hey Alexei, I know it’s been a while since this game was developed, but I’ve discovered it recently and I want to make a better one. More question types, community-contributed and voted questions, categories, profiles; cross-platform web app, themes, better UI etc.
It’s of course going to be open-source.
Would you like to help with math model for questions and evaluating, or maybe with development?
galatyuk.ilya AT gmail