Even though Eliezer claims that there was no fire alarm for AGI, perhaps this is the fire alarm?
I mean, obviously not, as most governments don’t know that metaculus exists or what a prediction market is.
Here is something more governments might pay attention to: https://today.yougov.com/topics/technology/survey-results/daily/2023/04/03/ad825/3.
46% of U.S. adults are very concerned or somewhat concerned about the possibility that AI will cause the end of the human race on Earth.
What on earth does the government have to do with a fire alarm? The fire alarm continues to buzz even if everyone in the room is deaf. It is just sending a signal not promising any particular action will be taken as a consequence.
The use of the fire alarm analogy on LessWrong is specifically about its effect, not about it being an epiphenomenon to people’s behavior.
I mean, obviously not, as most governments don’t know that metaculus exists or what a prediction market is.
Here is something more governments might pay attention to: https://today.yougov.com/topics/technology/survey-results/daily/2023/04/03/ad825/3.
46% of U.S. adults are very concerned or somewhat concerned about the possibility that AI will cause the end of the human race on Earth.
What on earth does the government have to do with a fire alarm? The fire alarm continues to buzz even if everyone in the room is deaf. It is just sending a signal not promising any particular action will be taken as a consequence.
The use of the fire alarm analogy on LessWrong is specifically about its effect, not about it being an epiphenomenon to people’s behavior.