I don’t understand what you’re getting at with your response to the question of personal evil.
You’re right about trading.
Seeing an Onion headline say “X did Y” is teeny evidence that X didn’t Y.
...
I think that’s doubtful.
In which direction? Do you mean to say that it’s no evidence, or it’s strong evidence? You speak of “a strong prior against the event”, but the strength of the prior doesn’t have any necessary relation to the strength of the evidence.
I don’t understand what you’re getting at with your response to the question of personal evil.
You’re right about trading.
In which direction? Do you mean to say that it’s no evidence, or it’s strong evidence? You speak of “a strong prior against the event”, but the strength of the prior doesn’t have any necessary relation to the strength of the evidence.