If you were the sort of person who would pay Pascal’s mugger, you would still not get solicited for money by people pretending to control the fates of 3↑↑↑3 people, because people don’t do this in real life, and no one would ever discover that it would work on you. I could have written a LessWrong post arguing that it is rational to pay Pascal’s mugger and that I would pay Pascal’s mugger if the scenario ever actually happened to me, and I still probably wouldn’t get Pascal-mugged because of the people who’d read it, none of them would both want to take advantage of me for $5 and be able to get to me for a cost of less than $5. If you were worried about facing more false Pascal’s muggers as a result of being the sort of person who pays Pascal’s mugger, but you would actually pay Pascal’s mugger if not for this concern, then you’d be more likely to come up with some sort of compromise solution, like paying Pascal’s mugger unless they ask for too much or unless you’ve faced too many of them, rather than just not paying Pascal’s mugger. And of course, if you really treated the fates of 3↑↑↑3 people as 3↑↑↑3 times as important as the fate of one person, you’d just keep paying all these Pascal’s muggers who figured out it works on you anyway, and if you ran out of money, you’d try to get more money to keep paying them by whatever means you can with the desparation of a broke heroin addict going through withdrawl, because the unimaginably tiny chance that one of these Pascal’s muggers is actually legit would still be enough to outweigh the fact that you’re attracting false Pascal’s muggers to you by acting that way.
If you were the sort of person who would pay Pascal’s mugger, you would still not get solicited for money by people pretending to control the fates of 3↑↑↑3 people, because people don’t do this in real life, and no one would ever discover that it would work on you. I could have written a LessWrong post arguing that it is rational to pay Pascal’s mugger and that I would pay Pascal’s mugger if the scenario ever actually happened to me, and I still probably wouldn’t get Pascal-mugged because of the people who’d read it, none of them would both want to take advantage of me for $5 and be able to get to me for a cost of less than $5. If you were worried about facing more false Pascal’s muggers as a result of being the sort of person who pays Pascal’s mugger, but you would actually pay Pascal’s mugger if not for this concern, then you’d be more likely to come up with some sort of compromise solution, like paying Pascal’s mugger unless they ask for too much or unless you’ve faced too many of them, rather than just not paying Pascal’s mugger. And of course, if you really treated the fates of 3↑↑↑3 people as 3↑↑↑3 times as important as the fate of one person, you’d just keep paying all these Pascal’s muggers who figured out it works on you anyway, and if you ran out of money, you’d try to get more money to keep paying them by whatever means you can with the desparation of a broke heroin addict going through withdrawl, because the unimaginably tiny chance that one of these Pascal’s muggers is actually legit would still be enough to outweigh the fact that you’re attracting false Pascal’s muggers to you by acting that way.