Isn’t there quite a bit of selection bias involved here? Perhaps some level of native intelligence is required to be in the elite (or strongly correlated to it at least) but don’t you have to see how many equally intelligent people are toiling away outside the elite to determine if greater intelligence is sufficient? Wouldn’t Bayes be a little disappointed with thispost? Also, you observe that people who are in the elite seem happier and more fulfilled than the average. That doesn’t really seem that surprising to me—after all they are already pretty far up Maslow’s pyramid by the time you can identify them as elite (although I have met a few billionaires and many millionaires who don’t seem particularly happy or fulfilled with their lives).
WRT VCs: amongst VCs, Jurvetson is clearly outside the norms, given how quickly he became a partner at a major firm. Better study more typical VCs to draw your conclusion about the class.
Isn’t there quite a bit of selection bias involved here? Perhaps some level of native intelligence is required to be in the elite (or strongly correlated to it at least) but don’t you have to see how many equally intelligent people are toiling away outside the elite to determine if greater intelligence is sufficient? Wouldn’t Bayes be a little disappointed with thispost? Also, you observe that people who are in the elite seem happier and more fulfilled than the average. That doesn’t really seem that surprising to me—after all they are already pretty far up Maslow’s pyramid by the time you can identify them as elite (although I have met a few billionaires and many millionaires who don’t seem particularly happy or fulfilled with their lives).
WRT VCs: amongst VCs, Jurvetson is clearly outside the norms, given how quickly he became a partner at a major firm. Better study more typical VCs to draw your conclusion about the class.