Something I find interesting is that even many of the highest-profile skeptics of AI progress are surprisingly bullish (from an objective perspective).
For example, Yann LeCun has said we might get to AGI within a decade or two, and even Gary Marcus has gone on record saying “I do think we will eventually reach AGI (artificial general intelligence), and quite possibly before the end of this century.”
“Before the end of this century” might seem pessimistic, but you’d think a true pessimist would say it will take centuries or millennia or even never happen at all. Almost no one seems to be saying that.
Thank you for putting this together.
Something I find interesting is that even many of the highest-profile skeptics of AI progress are surprisingly bullish (from an objective perspective).
For example, Yann LeCun has said we might get to AGI within a decade or two, and even Gary Marcus has gone on record saying “I do think we will eventually reach AGI (artificial general intelligence), and quite possibly before the end of this century.”
“Before the end of this century” might seem pessimistic, but you’d think a true pessimist would say it will take centuries or millennia or even never happen at all. Almost no one seems to be saying that.