Another complication is that various people judge the coach (or team) based on process and not just on results, using their own views about which process is best. So there’s a cost to making a decision that other people consider to be a bad decision, even if it maximizes your team’s chances of winning.
If the fans think the coach made a bad decision, they might like the team a bit less, spend less money on the team, or want the coach to be fired.
If the players think the coach made a bad decision, they might be a bit less on board with the what the team is doing or less eager to sign a contract with the team.
If the owner/GM thinks that the coach made a bad decision, or that the fans or players don’t support the coach as much, they might be a bit more likely to fire the coach.
So if we start in a situation where the fans, players, owner/GM, and coach all believe the conventional wisdom about what decisions are good ones, then the coach doesn’t necessarily have much incentive to search for unconventional approaches which are widely seen as bad ideas but actually increase the team’s chances of winning.
Another complication is that various people judge the coach (or team) based on process and not just on results, using their own views about which process is best. So there’s a cost to making a decision that other people consider to be a bad decision, even if it maximizes your team’s chances of winning.
If the fans think the coach made a bad decision, they might like the team a bit less, spend less money on the team, or want the coach to be fired.
If the players think the coach made a bad decision, they might be a bit less on board with the what the team is doing or less eager to sign a contract with the team.
If the owner/GM thinks that the coach made a bad decision, or that the fans or players don’t support the coach as much, they might be a bit more likely to fire the coach.
So if we start in a situation where the fans, players, owner/GM, and coach all believe the conventional wisdom about what decisions are good ones, then the coach doesn’t necessarily have much incentive to search for unconventional approaches which are widely seen as bad ideas but actually increase the team’s chances of winning.