the question is whether Ukraine will get defensive agreements in case of another Russian invasion. Since I do not believe such promises are worth much I expect this not to end up being a dealbreaker. … Ukraine is demanding ‘security guarantees’ as part of the deal that I am thinking they should actively not want, because they are not worth the paper they are printed on and that failure then weakens credibility. As it is now, either invading Ukraine again would create a broader war or it wouldn’t.
I’m curious why you see so little value in promises of protection. Is it because you believed the common misconception that the US and UK already made and have now broken such promises in the Budapest memorandum?
I’m curious why you see so little value in promises of protection. Is it because you believed the common misconception that the US and UK already made and have now broken such promises in the Budapest memorandum?