I think[1] people[2] probably trust individual tweets way more than they should.
Like, just because someone sounds very official and serious, and it’s a piece of information that’s inline with your worldviews, doesn’t mean it’s actually true. Or maybe it is true, but missing important context. Or it’s saying A causes B when it’s more like A and C and D all cause B together, and actually most of the effect is from C but now you’re laser focused on A.
Also you should be wary that the tweets you’re seeing are optimized for piquing the interests of people like you, not truth.
I’m definitely not the first person to say this, but feels like it’s worth it to say it again.
I think[1] people[2] probably trust individual tweets way more than they should.
Like, just because someone sounds very official and serious, and it’s a piece of information that’s inline with your worldviews, doesn’t mean it’s actually true. Or maybe it is true, but missing important context. Or it’s saying A causes B when it’s more like A and C and D all cause B together, and actually most of the effect is from C but now you’re laser focused on A.
Also you should be wary that the tweets you’re seeing are optimized for piquing the interests of people like you, not truth.
I’m definitely not the first person to say this, but feels like it’s worth it to say it again.
75% Confident maybe?
including some rationalists on here