That’s a great point! My rough model is that I’ll probably live 60 more years, and the last ~20 years will be ~50% degraded, so by 60 remaining life-years are only 50 QALYs. But… as you point out, on the other hand, my time might be worth more in 10 years, because I’ll have more metis, or something. Hmm.
(Another factor: if your model is that awesome life-extension tech / friendly AI will come before the end of your natural life, then dying young is a tragedy, since it means you’ll miss the Rapture; in which case, 1 micromort should perhaps be feared many times more than this simple model suggests. I… haven’t figured out how to feel about this small-probability-of-astronomical-payoff sort of argument.)
That’s a great point! My rough model is that I’ll probably live 60 more years, and the last ~20 years will be ~50% degraded, so by 60 remaining life-years are only 50 QALYs. But… as you point out, on the other hand, my time might be worth more in 10 years, because I’ll have more metis, or something. Hmm.
(Another factor: if your model is that awesome life-extension tech / friendly AI will come before the end of your natural life, then dying young is a tragedy, since it means you’ll miss the Rapture; in which case, 1 micromort should perhaps be feared many times more than this simple model suggests. I… haven’t figured out how to feel about this small-probability-of-astronomical-payoff sort of argument.)