“Mandates continue to make people angry” True for some people, but also worth noting that they’re popular overall. Looks like around 60% of Americans support Biden’s mandate, for instance (this is pretty high for a cultural war issue).
“Republicans are turning against vaccinations and vaccine mandates in general… would be rather disastrous if red states stopped requiring childhood immunizations” Support has waned, and it would be terrible if they stopped them, but note that:
Now republicans are split ~50:50; so it’s not like they have a consensus either way
Republicans being split and others (including independents) being in favor means that majority is clearly in favor, even in red states
Republican support has recovered somewhat already, and I’d expect support will continue to revert closer to pre-COVID levels as we progress further (especially years out); we might not reach pre-covid levels, but I’d be surprised if the general view of republicans was against several years from now (though OTOH, perhaps those against are more strongly against, so you could wind up in a single-issue voter type problem)
“3%” This seems to be at the 12 week mark, which is somewhat arbitrary. Even according to the same study, looks like long covid rates are closer to 1% after 19 weeks.
“To be blunt, they cheated (intentionally or otherwise)” Flagging that I don’t like this language, for a couple reasons:
I think it’s inaccurate/misrepresentative. “Cheating”, in my mind, implies some dishonesty. Yes, words can obviously be defined in any way, but I’m generally not a fan of redefining words with common definitions unless there’s a good reason. If, on the other hand, your claim is that they were indeed being dishonest, then I think you should come out and say that (otherwise what you’re doing is a little motte-and-bailey-ish).
I think it’s unnecessarily hostile. People make mistakes, including scientists making dumb mistakes. It’s good that they corrected their mistake (which is not something lots of people—including scientists—do). The fact that none of us caught it shows just how easy it is to make these sort of mistakes. (Again, this point doesn’t stand if you are trying to imply that it was intentional, but then I think you should state that.) I similarly don’t think it’s apt to call it “fessing up” when they correct their mistake.
Looks like this dropped after your post here so you wouldn’t have been able to incorporate it – advisors to the FDA are recommending moderna boosters for the same group of people that are getting pfizer boosters (65+, risk for health reasons, or risk for job), and also this will be at half dose. They should make a recommendation on J&J tomorrow.
“Mandates continue to make people angry”
True for some people, but also worth noting that they’re popular overall. Looks like around 60% of Americans support Biden’s mandate, for instance (this is pretty high for a cultural war issue).
“Republicans are turning against vaccinations and vaccine mandates in general… would be rather disastrous if red states stopped requiring childhood immunizations”
Support has waned, and it would be terrible if they stopped them, but note that:
Now republicans are split ~50:50; so it’s not like they have a consensus either way
Republicans being split and others (including independents) being in favor means that majority is clearly in favor, even in red states
Republican support has recovered somewhat already, and I’d expect support will continue to revert closer to pre-COVID levels as we progress further (especially years out); we might not reach pre-covid levels, but I’d be surprised if the general view of republicans was against several years from now (though OTOH, perhaps those against are more strongly against, so you could wind up in a single-issue voter type problem)
“3%”
This seems to be at the 12 week mark, which is somewhat arbitrary. Even according to the same study, looks like long covid rates are closer to 1% after 19 weeks.
“To be blunt, they cheated (intentionally or otherwise)”
Flagging that I don’t like this language, for a couple reasons:
I think it’s inaccurate/misrepresentative. “Cheating”, in my mind, implies some dishonesty. Yes, words can obviously be defined in any way, but I’m generally not a fan of redefining words with common definitions unless there’s a good reason. If, on the other hand, your claim is that they were indeed being dishonest, then I think you should come out and say that (otherwise what you’re doing is a little motte-and-bailey-ish).
I think it’s unnecessarily hostile. People make mistakes, including scientists making dumb mistakes. It’s good that they corrected their mistake (which is not something lots of people—including scientists—do). The fact that none of us caught it shows just how easy it is to make these sort of mistakes. (Again, this point doesn’t stand if you are trying to imply that it was intentional, but then I think you should state that.) I similarly don’t think it’s apt to call it “fessing up” when they correct their mistake.
Looks like this dropped after your post here so you wouldn’t have been able to incorporate it – advisors to the FDA are recommending moderna boosters for the same group of people that are getting pfizer boosters (65+, risk for health reasons, or risk for job), and also this will be at half dose. They should make a recommendation on J&J tomorrow.