Here’s Hans Moravec on the time-of-arrival of just the computing power for “practical human-level AI”:
Despite this, if you contrast the curves on page 64 of “Mind Children” and page 60 of “Robot” you will note the arrival time estimate for sufficient computer power for practical human-level AI has actually come closer, from 2030 in “Mind Children” to about 2025 in “Robot.”
Here’s Hans Moravec on the time-of-arrival of just the computing power for “practical human-level AI”: