If he’s confident enough it seems like a very good expected value: If Yudkowsky is right, he’s getting an infinity% return on investment (since Caplan gave him $100 that he’ll never have to pay back).
If he’s confident enough it seems like a very good expected value: If Yudkowsky is right, he’s getting an infinity% return on investment (since Caplan gave him $100 that he’ll never have to pay back).