This supernatural predicting power is a strong evidence against SIA and thirding.
I don’t see why.
Let’s simplify the problem, remove all the anthropics and amnesia. I paint two balls red or blue randomly. If none are red, the experiment is over. If there’s at least one red ball, I choose a red ball randomly and give it to you. Now the other ball is 2x more likely to be blue than red. Is that also supernatural to you?
I don’t see why.
Let’s simplify the problem, remove all the anthropics and amnesia. I paint two balls red or blue randomly. If none are red, the experiment is over. If there’s at least one red ball, I choose a red ball randomly and give it to you. Now the other ball is 2x more likely to be blue than red. Is that also supernatural to you?