Although I don’t see anything wrong with your doomer/booster delineation here, your doomer/realist delineation is catastrophic. Although nearterm AI power realities are ultimately a distraction from AI risk, they are also essential for understanding AGI macrostrategy e.g. race dynamics.
By lumping things like US-China affairs in the same camp as spin doctors like Gebru and Mitchell, you’re basically labeling those factors as diametrically opposed to the AI safety community, which will only give bad actors more control/monopoly over the overton window (both the overton window for the general public and the separate one within the AI safety community).
The nearterm uses of AI are critical to understand the gameboard and to weigh different strategies. It’s not intrinsically valuable, but it’s instrumentally convergent to understand the world’s current “AI situation”. It’s a bad idea to lump it in the same category with opportunistic woke celebrities.
Although I don’t see anything wrong with your doomer/booster delineation here, your doomer/realist delineation is catastrophic. Although nearterm AI power realities are ultimately a distraction from AI risk, they are also essential for understanding AGI macrostrategy e.g. race dynamics.
By lumping things like US-China affairs in the same camp as spin doctors like Gebru and Mitchell, you’re basically labeling those factors as diametrically opposed to the AI safety community, which will only give bad actors more control/monopoly over the overton window (both the overton window for the general public and the separate one within the AI safety community).
The nearterm uses of AI are critical to understand the gameboard and to weigh different strategies. It’s not intrinsically valuable, but it’s instrumentally convergent to understand the world’s current “AI situation”. It’s a bad idea to lump it in the same category with opportunistic woke celebrities.