In the least convenient possible world, the brainwashing machine is very effective and you will be living the rest of your life underground with no access to any info about the moon.
The password won’t be needed after tomorrow, there is no point remembering it longer than that.
First you choose which future self you wish to become, and then you update based on the credence of that self.
I wish to become a future self that knows everything, wait I can’t just update my beliefs to match a hypothetical omniscient future version of myself, thus becoming omniscient.
If you want you future beliefs to be more accurate, update your beliefs to be more accurate. True advice, but not very useful.
I wish to become a future self that is confident they are living in a post ASI utopia. But deluding myself into thinking I am in a post ASI utopia despite strong evidence to the contrary isn’t a good idea.
In the least convenient possible world, the brainwashing machine is very effective and you will be living the rest of your life underground with no access to any info about the moon.
The password won’t be needed after tomorrow, there is no point remembering it longer than that.
I wish to become a future self that knows everything, wait I can’t just update my beliefs to match a hypothetical omniscient future version of myself, thus becoming omniscient.
If you want you future beliefs to be more accurate, update your beliefs to be more accurate. True advice, but not very useful.
I wish to become a future self that is confident they are living in a post ASI utopia. But deluding myself into thinking I am in a post ASI utopia despite strong evidence to the contrary isn’t a good idea.