It looks to me as though Turkey and Austria have a stalemate line running south of St Petersburg, which will keep England from the two centers it needs for victory. I don’t think England can credibly commit to not taking those two centers if either of the eastern partners betrays the other. Consequently a DIAS or continued partnership is the optimal strategy for Austria and Turkey, and England cannot force a victory.
They don’t have the units in place, but they can put them in place rather quickly. South of the Alps they can order:
F Ionian Sea S F Tunis H;
F Tyrrhenian Sea H;
F Tuscany S F Tyrrhenian Sea H;
A Rome-Venice (which will then support A Piedmont);
A Piedmont H;
They could stalemate North of the Alps fairly easily. It is impossible to hold St Petersburg. Munich and Berlin may be defensible, if the Eastern Powers guess correctly, but if they can at least hold Berlin they can form a stalemate similar to John Beshera’s Position II north of the Alps. A Munich retreats to Bohemia and Warsaw moves up to Prussia, and St Petersburg holds out long enough to move A Budapest up to Warsaw to support A Livonia H.
To get the units in position:
A Tyrolia S A Munich H;
A Munich H (retreat to Bohemia if dislodged);
A Berlin H;
A Silesia S A Berlin H;
A Warsaw-Prussia;
A Livonia S A Warsaw-Prussia;
A Moscow S A St Petersburg;
A Budapest-Galicia, followed by A Budapest-Warsaw;
It looks to me as though Turkey and Austria have a stalemate line running south of St Petersburg, which will keep England from the two centers it needs for victory. I don’t think England can credibly commit to not taking those two centers if either of the eastern partners betrays the other. Consequently a DIAS or continued partnership is the optimal strategy for Austria and Turkey, and England cannot force a victory.
Yes, but they don’t yet have all the units in place to defend it.
They don’t have the units in place, but they can put them in place rather quickly. South of the Alps they can order:
F Ionian Sea S F Tunis H; F Tyrrhenian Sea H; F Tuscany S F Tyrrhenian Sea H; A Rome-Venice (which will then support A Piedmont); A Piedmont H;
They could stalemate North of the Alps fairly easily. It is impossible to hold St Petersburg. Munich and Berlin may be defensible, if the Eastern Powers guess correctly, but if they can at least hold Berlin they can form a stalemate similar to John Beshera’s Position II north of the Alps. A Munich retreats to Bohemia and Warsaw moves up to Prussia, and St Petersburg holds out long enough to move A Budapest up to Warsaw to support A Livonia H.
To get the units in position:
A Tyrolia S A Munich H; A Munich H (retreat to Bohemia if dislodged); A Berlin H; A Silesia S A Berlin H; A Warsaw-Prussia; A Livonia S A Warsaw-Prussia; A Moscow S A St Petersburg; A Budapest-Galicia, followed by A Budapest-Warsaw;
After the units are in position:
A War & Mos S A Livonia H; A Pru & Sil S Berlin H
Would tie up the line