Yeah, exactly. Bayesian theory is built on top of an assumption of regularity, not the other way around. If some malicious genie purposefully screwed with your observations, Bayesian theory would crash and burn. Heck, the classic “inductivist turkey” would have very high Bayesian belief in his chances of living past Christmas.
Yeah, exactly. Bayesian theory is built on top of an assumption of regularity, not the other way around. If some malicious genie purposefully screwed with your observations, Bayesian theory would crash and burn. Heck, the classic “inductivist turkey” would have very high Bayesian belief in his chances of living past Christmas.