I threw 10% there as an example of a target that you might convince with some intervention. By “long tail” I don’t mean a small number of people, a long tail can be 50% of a distribution. I am using the term to refer to the reasons they don’t get vaccinated. The post mentions 34 distinct responses, so if one were to optimize for impact then the idea would be to identify the most “nudgeable” class, evaluate the cost/benefit of the nudge, etc. Sorry if I wasn’t clear enough in my original comment.
Right, I did misunderstand. I thought you were proposing taking 10% and trying to convince some of them who can be convinced. But the value of that is decreasing every day now. Half the population has already been infected at least once and recovered which is probably equivalent to vaccination.
In US, the number of unvaccinated is closer to 30%. This is no long tail.
I threw 10% there as an example of a target that you might convince with some intervention. By “long tail” I don’t mean a small number of people, a long tail can be 50% of a distribution. I am using the term to refer to the reasons they don’t get vaccinated. The post mentions 34 distinct responses, so if one were to optimize for impact then the idea would be to identify the most “nudgeable” class, evaluate the cost/benefit of the nudge, etc. Sorry if I wasn’t clear enough in my original comment.
Right, I did misunderstand. I thought you were proposing taking 10% and trying to convince some of them who can be convinced. But the value of that is decreasing every day now. Half the population has already been infected at least once and recovered which is probably equivalent to vaccination.