Sure. There’s lots of things that aren’t yet possible to collect evidence about. No given conception of God or afterlife options has been disproven. However, there are lots of competing, incompatible theories, none of which have any evidence for or against. Assigning any significant probability (more than a percent, say) to any of them is unjustified. Even if you want to say 50⁄50 that some form of deism will be revealed after death, there are literally thousands of incompatible conceptions of how that works. And near-infininte possibilities that haven’t become popular. Note that if it turns out that consciousness is physical and just ends when the physical support for it terminates, then nobody will be able to observe that. It’s a permanent “no evidence” situation.
All that said, it’s hard to argue against someone else’s choice of priors (what they believe before evidence becomes available). Maybe they have access to experiences you don’t. Maybe they weight some kinds of social evidence more heavily (the ‘prophets’ theory that there are historical or current people with more direct connections). Maybe they’re even right—you don’t have access to any counterevidence, right? By “hard to argue”, I mostly mean “hard to be sure yourself”, but also literally “not worth arguing”. We’ll all find out soon enough, right?
Or maybe it’s all relative—it’s true for them, and not for you. Or maybe it’s weirder than we can imagine.
Sure. There’s lots of things that aren’t yet possible to collect evidence about. No given conception of God or afterlife options has been disproven. However, there are lots of competing, incompatible theories, none of which have any evidence for or against. Assigning any significant probability (more than a percent, say) to any of them is unjustified. Even if you want to say 50⁄50 that some form of deism will be revealed after death, there are literally thousands of incompatible conceptions of how that works. And near-infininte possibilities that haven’t become popular. Note that if it turns out that consciousness is physical and just ends when the physical support for it terminates, then nobody will be able to observe that. It’s a permanent “no evidence” situation.
All that said, it’s hard to argue against someone else’s choice of priors (what they believe before evidence becomes available). Maybe they have access to experiences you don’t. Maybe they weight some kinds of social evidence more heavily (the ‘prophets’ theory that there are historical or current people with more direct connections). Maybe they’re even right—you don’t have access to any counterevidence, right? By “hard to argue”, I mostly mean “hard to be sure yourself”, but also literally “not worth arguing”. We’ll all find out soon enough, right?
Or maybe it’s all relative—it’s true for them, and not for you. Or maybe it’s weirder than we can imagine.