I don’t understand one thing about alignment troubles. I’m sure this has been answered long time ago, but if you could you explain:
Why are we worrying about AGI destroying humanity, when we ourselves are long past the point of no return towards self-destruction? Isn’t it obvious that we have 10, maximum 20 years left till water rises and crises hit economy and overgrown beast (that is humanity) collapses? Looking at how governments and entities of power are epically failing even to try make it seem that they are doing something about it—I am sure it’s either AGI takes power or we are all dead in 20 years.
How did you come to have such a pessimistic view of climate change? I don’t think you will get that from mainstream sources such as IPCC reports.
There is zero chance that climate change will lead to human extinction. During the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum 55 million years ago, temperatures rose by much more than is plausible in the near future, and life went on, albeit with some extinctions. (Note that humans are about the least likely species to go extinct, due to our living in many habitats, using very adaptable technologies.) More likely, global warming would be like the Holocene Climatic Optimum, which couldn’t have been all that bad, seeing as it coincided with the formation of the first human civilizations.
At most, climate change might lead to the collapse of civilization, but only because civilizations are quite capable of collapsing from their own internal dynamics, and climate change disruptions might be the nudge that pushes us from the edge of the cliff to off the cliff.
This is my point exactly—“At most, climate change might lead to the collapse of civilization, but only because civilizations are quite capable of collapsing from their own internal dynamics”
Pessimistic view of climate change I get from the fact that they aimed at 1.5C, then at 2C, now if i remember right there’s no estimation and also no solution, or is there?
In short mild or not, global warming is happening, and since civs on certain stage tend to self-destruct from small nudges—you said it yourself, but it doesn’t matter where the nudge comes from.
I don’t understand one thing about alignment troubles. I’m sure this has been answered long time ago, but if you could you explain:
Why are we worrying about AGI destroying humanity, when we ourselves are long past the point of no return towards self-destruction? Isn’t it obvious that we have 10, maximum 20 years left till water rises and crises hit economy and overgrown beast (that is humanity) collapses? Looking at how governments and entities of power are epically failing even to try make it seem that they are doing something about it—I am sure it’s either AGI takes power or we are all dead in 20 years.
How did you come to have such a pessimistic view of climate change? I don’t think you will get that from mainstream sources such as IPCC reports.
There is zero chance that climate change will lead to human extinction. During the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum 55 million years ago, temperatures rose by much more than is plausible in the near future, and life went on, albeit with some extinctions. (Note that humans are about the least likely species to go extinct, due to our living in many habitats, using very adaptable technologies.) More likely, global warming would be like the Holocene Climatic Optimum, which couldn’t have been all that bad, seeing as it coincided with the formation of the first human civilizations.
At most, climate change might lead to the collapse of civilization, but only because civilizations are quite capable of collapsing from their own internal dynamics, and climate change disruptions might be the nudge that pushes us from the edge of the cliff to off the cliff.
This is my point exactly—“At most, climate change might lead to the collapse of civilization, but only because civilizations are quite capable of collapsing from their own internal dynamics”
Pessimistic view of climate change I get from the fact that they aimed at 1.5C, then at 2C, now if i remember right there’s no estimation and also no solution, or is there?
In short mild or not, global warming is happening, and since civs on certain stage tend to self-destruct from small nudges—you said it yourself, but it doesn’t matter where the nudge comes from.