you’re misunderstanding the TIME article as more naive and less based-on-an-underlying-complicated-model than is actually the case.
I specifically said “I do not necessarily say that this particular TIME article was a bad idea” mainly because I assumed it probably wasn’t that naive. Sorry I didn’t make it clear enough.
I still decided to comment because I think this is pretty important in general, even if somewhat obvious. Looks like one of those biases which show up over and over again even if you try pretty hard to correct it.
Also, I think it’s pretty hard to judge what works and what doesn’t. The vibe has shifted a lot even in the last 6 months. I think it is plausible it shifted more than in a 10-year period 2010-2019.
I specifically said “I do not necessarily say that this particular TIME article was a bad idea” mainly because I assumed it probably wasn’t that naive. Sorry I didn’t make it clear enough.
I still decided to comment because I think this is pretty important in general, even if somewhat obvious. Looks like one of those biases which show up over and over again even if you try pretty hard to correct it.
Also, I think it’s pretty hard to judge what works and what doesn’t. The vibe has shifted a lot even in the last 6 months. I think it is plausible it shifted more than in a 10-year period 2010-2019.