Beyond any rationality about the banning, it won’t go too far, it won’t happen, because the geopolitical game between superpowers which already have some present existential risks is right now bigger than any future risks could emerge from advanced AI development. And if you have not sufficiently developed AI technology at some point in the geopolitical game, you may be well into the bigger existential risk since not having nuclear weapons.
So, there you go, do you think present almost unexistent risks (albeit feasible to be present really close in the future), can overweight the other multiple, hotter, present existential risks?
If the US doesn’t develop it, you can be assured that China and Russia will. US scientists are likely to develop it more quickly. Assuming it is possible, Chinese and Russian scientists, given enough time and resources will develop it eventually. If it is possible, there is no stopping it from happening. Someone will do it. It is pointless to pretend otherwise.
Beyond any rationality about the banning, it won’t go too far, it won’t happen, because the geopolitical game between superpowers which already have some present existential risks is right now bigger than any future risks could emerge from advanced AI development. And if you have not sufficiently developed AI technology at some point in the geopolitical game, you may be well into the bigger existential risk since not having nuclear weapons.
So, there you go, do you think present almost unexistent risks (albeit feasible to be present really close in the future), can overweight the other multiple, hotter, present existential risks?
If the US doesn’t develop it, you can be assured that China and Russia will. US scientists are likely to develop it more quickly. Assuming it is possible, Chinese and Russian scientists, given enough time and resources will develop it eventually. If it is possible, there is no stopping it from happening. Someone will do it. It is pointless to pretend otherwise.
There’s a joke in the field of AI about this.
Q: How far behind the US is China in AI research?
A: About 12 hours.