P(Eliezer Yudkowsky will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013. ) = 0.20
Note: I increased my probability estimate since I originally made the prediction based on the fact that I just made a comment in a high-profile thread in the Main section discussing it.
P(Eliezer Yudkowsky will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013. ) = 0.20
Note: I increased my probability estimate since I originally made the prediction based on the fact that I just made a comment in a high-profile thread in the Main section discussing it.